What is Track record?
Track record (natijalar tarixi)
In short
The full history of a signal service's or strategy's past results, losers included. A trustworthy track record is uncurated, timestamped and explains how it is computed.
Screenshots of winners only are not a track record. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Learn more →A track record is the full history of a signal service's, strategy's or trader's past results, losing trades included. It's the only objective source for answering "how well does this approach work?".
Signs of a trustworthy track record
- Uncurated: every trade is shown, not just the winners.
- Timestamped: each signal was published before the trade and never edited.
- Transparent method: how entry, stop and exit are determined, and whether commissions are included.
- Enough volume: 10–20 trades say almost nothing statistically; hundreds of trades are much more meaningful.
Metrics to look at
- Win rate — meaningless alone; judge it together with the size of wins and losses.
- Expectancy — the average result per trade.
- Profit factor — total gains ÷ total losses.
- Maximum drawdown — how much was lost in the worst stretch.
Warning signs
Screenshots of winners only, "90% accuracy" promises, missing or deleted losing trades — that's advertising, not a track record. And above all: even the best track record does not guarantee the future. The full history of limitup's signals is public on the track record page.
Example
Two illustrative signal services:
Service A — 10 screenshots of winning trades. No losses shown, signal times unknown. Impossible to evaluate.
Service B — 120 signals, all timestamped:
- 52 winners (win rate 52 ÷ 120 ≈ 43.3%), averaging +2.1R.
- 68 losers, averaging −1R.
- Total: 52 × 2.1 − 68 × 1 = 109.2 − 68 = +41.2R.
- Expectancy: 41.2 ÷ 120 ≈ +0.34R per trade.
- Profit factor: 109.2 ÷ 68 ≈ 1.61.
Even with a win rate below 50%, service B's results can be verified — service A's cannot.
Mistakes and tips
Look at the full table, not screenshots: every trade, with dates and losses.
Don't judge win rate alone — look at it together with average win and average loss.
A history of at least 100 trades spanning different market conditions (up and down) is easier to trust.
Good past results are no guarantee of the future — you still manage the risk yourself.
Frequently asked questions
- How do you verify a signal service's track record?
- Check that every signal was published with a timestamp before the trade, that losses are shown, and that the calculation method is disclosed.
- Does a high win rate mean a good track record?
- Not necessarily. Even with an 80% win rate, the overall result can be negative if the average loss is much larger than the average win.
Learn it in the Academy
This term is covered with hands-on examples and a quiz in these lessons of the interactive course.
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