Our signal results: open report for Q3 2026

This is the first issue of our quarterly series: how our signals performed, losers included. We don't write "90% win rate" ads. You can check the numbers yourself: everything is on the track record page, signal by signal.

How to read a signal and what these numbers mean: What a signal is and isn't.

Which period and which data

• Period: Q3 2026 (July–September). But the public history starts on August 12 — so this is really about 7 weeks of results, not a full quarter.
• Source: the public track-record data, as of October 2, 2026, 19:47 UTC.
• Which signals: only those sent to users — internal tests are excluded.
• At the time of the calculation 7 signals were still open; once they close, the live numbers on the track record page may differ slightly from these.

The headline numbers

As of October 2, for signals created in Q3:

• 146 signals, of which 139 closed and 7 still open;
• 85 wins, 54 losses — a win rate of 61.2%;
• average result +1.34% across closed signals, median +2.5%;
• profit factor 1.77 — the sum of winning percentages is 1.77 times the sum of losing ones;
• average win +5.0%, average loss −4.5%.

Look at the last line: the average win is not much bigger than the average loss. The system is positive mainly because wins outnumber losses. If the win rate drops noticeably, the result approaches zero quickly — we're not hiding that.

By month: September was weaker than August

• August (from Aug 12): 60 signals, all closed; 38 wins / 22 losses, win rate 63.3%, average +1.72%, profit factor 2.01.
• September: 86 signals, 79 closed; 47 / 32, win rate 59.5%, average +1.04%, profit factor 1.59.

Every metric declined in September. By week (US session day), the weakest stretches were:

• Sep 7–11: 19 closed signals, average only +0.78%;
• Sep 21–25: 6 closed signals, average +0.88% — a week with very few signals;
• Sep 28–30 (the last three days of the quarter): 14 closed, 6 wins, average −0.43% — the quarter's only negative week.

The longest losing streak was 3 signals in a row (in order of creation).

Losses: what they looked like

37 of the 54 losses closed at the full stop-loss of −5.0%. The rest were smaller: expiry, or a tighter stop. A few of the quarter's worst signals (all −5.0%):

• KOPN — August 28;
• IPW — September 3. During the tracking window the price fell as far as −17.5% from entry — that's what the loss would have been without a stop;
• NEXR — August 14: hit the stop within 4 hours; the drawdown during the tracking window reached −12.7%.

A stop-loss doesn't remove the loss — it holds it to a size set in advance. That's exactly how 37 signals closed.

Wins

The best result was +11.75% — a full exit at the third target (TP3) or via trailing stop. For example CHAI (Aug 28), JTAI (Sep 17) and DMRC (Sep 30). Most winners (50) closed via trailing stop; 16 closed after the stop was moved to the entry price following the first target.

By strategy

• Trendline — 135 signals (almost the whole quarter), 128 closed: win rate 59.4%, average +1.21%, profit factor 1.66.
• Rebound — 11 signals: 9 wins, 2 losses, average +2.8%. It looks nice, but 11 signals are not statistics. It's too early to draw conclusions.

Limits of the calculation — know these first

These numbers won't show up the same way in your account. Why:

1. Signal level. Equal weight per signal, no commission, no position sizing. Real portfolio results differ.
2. Stops are assumed to fill exactly at the stop price. If the price opens below the stop (a gap), a real order fills at a worse price and the loss is bigger than −5%. Our calculation doesn't model this.
3. Small stocks. Every signal this quarter was on a stock priced under $20, and 99 of the 139 closed signals were on stocks under $5. Such stocks have wide spreads, thin liquidity and jumpy prices — slippage can eat into real results.
4. Short history. 7 weeks and 139 closed signals is a good start, but too little to see the market in different regimes.

Bottom line

Q3 closed positive: 61% win rate, +1.3% average, profit factor 1.8. But September was weaker than August, the quarter ended on a negative week, and the calculation doesn't account for real trading costs. The next issue comes after Q4, in the same format: the good and the bad.

See every signal yourself: track record. Signals are only issued on stocks that pass halal screening: halal stocks list.

This article is for information only, not investment advice. Past results do not guarantee future results.