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Anthropic plans to go public: $2T expected — who sets that price?

AI company Anthropic is reportedly preparing a November IPO. What an IPO is, where the $2T figure comes from, why one analyst says $150B, and why the date is not official yet.

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AI company Anthropic is preparing to go public through an IPO. A valuation of around $2 trillion is being discussed. But where does that number come from, and why does another analyst put it more than ten times lower? Three questions.

The key point first: the company has not confirmed either the IPO date or the price. What follows are press reports and analyst estimates.

AnthropicNasdaq

What happened

An IPO (initial public offering) is when a company sells its shares to the public for the first time. Until then shares are held only by founders, employees and a few funds; after the IPO they trade freely on an exchange.

The Nasdaq MarketSite building in New York, with the Nasdaq sign on its screen
Nasdaq MarketSite, Times Square, New York (May 2026). Photo: Nielsoncaetanosalmeron, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons
  • June 1, 2026: Anthropic confidentially filed its IPO prospectus with the SEC (CNBC). The prospectus has not been made public yet.
  • October 1: according to Bloomberg, the formal marketing could start the week of November 9 (Bloomberg), with a debut before year-end (Bloomberg).
  • The company itself has only said the IPO depends on market conditions and other factors (CNBC).

The valuation path

The official figures the company announced — private funding rounds:

  • February 12, 2026: $30 billion raised at a $380 billion valuation (Anthropic);
  • May 28, 2026: $65 billion raised at a $965 billion valuation (Anthropic).

The ~$2 trillion IPO figure is not official: Bloomberg Intelligence estimates $1.8–2 trillion, and CNBC reported that the number comes from investors' calculations, not from the company.

How investors reacted

One company, two very different valuations:

  • market expectation — ~$2 trillion;
  • independent research firm New Constructs — ~$150 billion. It called the deal "the most ridiculous IPO of the year", citing losses and competition from open-source models (CNBC). That estimate, too, is based on reported figures rather than a public prospectus.

That is what the price is a negotiation means. The final share price is agreed between the company, the underwriting banks and large investors during the marketing process. Strong demand pushes it up; weak demand pushes it down or delays the IPO.

SpaceX

For comparison: SpaceX raised $75 billion in its IPO on June 11, 2026 (shares at $135) — the largest IPO ever, at a valuation of about $1.77 trillion (CNBC).

What to watch next

  • The public prospectus. Before the IPO the prospectus is made public, with official revenue, losses, costs and risks. Most numbers today are leaked or based on sources.
  • The price range. When marketing starts, the banks announce a price range for the shares — that is when a real number replaces the "$2 trillion".
  • The short lesson: an expectation is not a price yet. The valuation in the headlines and the price on IPO day are often not the same.

For information only — not investment advice. The company is not listed, so it has no halal screening status. Figures refer to the dates shown.

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